Friday, August 31, 2007

My opinion is that I am not expressing an opinion

This whole blogging lark is funny when you've nailed your flag to a particular poll of political isn't it? Today there is a YouGov polls showing a eight point lead to Labour (and there was another two days ago that had it as five points). So how do I write about it?

The joy of the Internet is the way you get comments, but the amusement is the way those comments are predictable. If you don't mention a poll lead to the "other side" - and this applies equally anyway - you can guarantee to receive a comment that says "I see you're not mentioning X poll". The assumption being that you're avoding it, even though you might actually be working, or have just not got round to it.

If you do mention it, unless you say "woe is me!" or put on your best John Laurie impression and say "we're dooomed!" you will find yourself accused of either ignoring reality, or trying to spin it. It really is quite funny how it works, and, as I say, this is the way of the world whatever direction a given poll may be going in.

As such this is an obligatory post that mentions the poll but casts no formal opinion or analysis on it because the response to such opinion are guaranteed to follow the above ruleset. Labour have an eight point lead in a YouGov poll, that's all there is to say.

Note: I wonder if anyone will prove my point in the comments?


Newmania said...
31 Aug 2007 10:00:00  

Not really , this follows an ICM Poll actually taken avout the same time showing a 5% lead only and both are showing the Bounce subsiding . I think it is this that will make Brown go early which I am now convinced he is going to do

Alan Douglas said...
31 Aug 2007 10:06:00  

Hey Dizzy, You didn't NOT mention the poll !

Alan Douglas

anthonynorth said...
31 Aug 2007 10:26:00  

Comments are predictable?

Lovely weather we're having today, don't you think?

dizzy said...
31 Aug 2007 10:28:00  

bah! bastard!

Anonymous said...
31 Aug 2007 10:37:00  

Anthony King in the DT states the poll shows that Cameron's fight back has left him on the floor.

YouGov polls are obiously more special than we thought-it was conducted before the fight back, yet manages to record reaction to it. Amazing.

Travis Bickle said...
31 Aug 2007 12:13:00  

DT very strange today, editorial arguing very strongly that Brown should go to the polls in October, either a) they know something we don't know, b) they want to get rid of Cameron or c) they can no longer be counted as Tory supporters.

Mountjoy said...
31 Aug 2007 13:18:00  

I have concerns about YouGov because its demographic is biased towards people who have Internet access, are younger and therefore less likely to vote Tory. Even with ajustment/weighting, it's still skewed.

Let's see the next Mori etc polls and see whether they concur.

jailhouselawyer said...
31 Aug 2007 13:32:00  

Isn't that against the Trade Description Act to offer "opinionated arrogance" and then fail to offer an opinion? The post has tickled Mike Rouse...

BTW, Bob Piper has posted whether your blog is written by somebody else who is a look-alike...

kinglear said...
31 Aug 2007 15:25:00  

No early poll is a participant in the Amazon Europe S.à.r.l. Associates Programme, an affiliate advertising programme designed to provide a means for sites to earn advertising fees by advertising and linking to